Palin’s Approval Index Continues to Erode in Her Home State. (Updated)
17 03 2009Well, everyone’s been asking, and here they are – hot off the presses. The latest Sarah Palin popularity numbers from Hays Research Group are in. In order to give you a little perspective, we need to start by looking at these numbers beginning in August of 2007, one year before becoming McCain’s VP pick.
Approval index = +55 (calculated by subtracting “very negative” from “very positive”)
Approval index = +52
Troopergate – Walt Monegan is fired on 7-13-08. His replacement Chuck Kopp resigns on 7-25 in the midst of scandal. Approval index = +46
Palin has been chosen as Presidential candidate John McCain’s running mate. Approval index = +39
Approval index = +25
And the first post-election numbers from Hays Research:
Approval index = +20
So, while in isolation, her approval numbers appear strong, there is a slow and steady erosion happening, and an undeniable trend in the downward direction.
Voters by party political party, October 2008 (total: 495,731)
Alaskan Independence: 2 percent (13,810)
Democratic: 15 percent (76,792)
Republican: 25 percent (126,583)
Libertarian: 1 percent (6 972)
Non partisan: 15 percent (77,227)
Undeclared: 37 percent (185,587)
Green: less than one percent (2,949)
Republican Moderate: less the 1 percent (3,939)
Veterans Party: less than 1 percent (1,935)
(A Big Thank You to Anonymous Number Cruncher and Dr. Chill for the additional graphs above, based on the Hays Research numbers at the top)
March 18th, 2009 at 12:17 PM
Oh, yeah, back to on topic….
GC (15:52:27) asked: Question: how come missionaries never proselityze to their own groups and race? Why is it always an ethnic endeavour; India, Native Americans, Africa, South America, New Guineau, Micronesia, etc.? Why not L.A., New York, Toronto, London? How about those Scandinavian countries? Bring Jesus to White people in Norway…
Actually, GC, my husband’s nephew is a Mormon, and he and his wife spent 2 years recently in Finland trying to convert the Finnish.
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It never fails to amaze and amuse me to see the C4P types compare Sarah Palin with Barack Obama.
Not only are the two light years apart in philosophy, education, intellect, emotional connection with the people they purport to represent, dedication to responsibility, and motives — they were not “paired” except in the minds of Palin’s deluded followers. Palin will always be the gullible redneck sidekick to John McCain, and both of them lost to Obama and Biden. If Palin should be compared to anybody, it’s Joe Biden.
And if she’s lucky enought to avoid indictment, impeachment, or the popularity of GWBush before 2012, she rightfully should be compared to whoever runs against her in 2012, and only THEN will it be “fair” to compare her to Barack Obama.
My own opinion? I don’t think she’ll win ANY election in the future. Not even in Alaska.
March 18th, 2009 at 3:06 PM
My apologies. I’m not Irish, don’t ruin expensive alcohol with food coloring, have Irish friends that are tortured and agonized every March and avoid bars because invariably someone sings Paddy songs and cries on them about the “homeland” after too much green beer. They have no leprachaun and clover decorations and they’re not impressed with attempts to make the worst cut of meat on the planet palatable with pickling spices. They do play great music and like soda bread.
I make good moose stew, but have no recipe to share. I can make spaghetti with bear sausage, also, too. Not my bear, a gift from a friend, also not Irish, and not related to the Palins. Once again, no recipe. I never cook anything ahead of time and never never leave the house with ovens and appliances on, because I will most likely burn the house down. I’m partial to a good hamburger on a Tuesday. Maybe some ginger ale. Or orange juice if there is some. Raisin bran’s always good in a pinch, as long as the milk isn’t sour. And that’s all I have to say ’bout that.
I think it’s a vanity to compare Palin to Obama. Before all the grooming, it was widely assumed that she was setting up for Ted Steven’s spot, and that it was likely to happen. She may have missed an opportunity – she may very well have been better at a congressional role than Governor.
A better comparison would be another celebrity state-level politician, like Arnold in CA.
3/09 – “Schwarzenegger’s rating dropped from 40 percent in January to 34 percent among registered voters in the poll that was concluded Feb. 17, two days before he and legislators made a final deal on the budget. Those low numbers stood in sharp contrast with President Barack Obama’s 67 percent approval among registered voters, including a plurality of Republicans and 53 percent of those who labeled themselves as conservatives.”
8/05 – “…in a poll conducted by the Public Policy Institute of California, close to 54 per cent of Californians say they disapprove of the Austria native’s performance–almost double the 28 per cent a year ago and slowly approaching the 67 per cent who weren’t impressed with Davis two years ago. Tim Hodson, executive director of the Center for California Studies at California State University, Sacramento, says, ‘Schwarzenegger is crashing and burning because voters now view him as just another partisan politician and because people just want government to do its job.’”
March 19th, 2009 at 9:25 AM
[...] report, this time over Palin’s poll numbers, that accentuated the positive and minimized the slow and steady erosion of her approval ratings. When Obama’s poll numbers (supposedly) dip, it’s a big negative on FOX but [...]