Palin’s Approval Index in Alaska Goes Negative (Updated with Charts!)

30 07 2009

The latest Palin poll numbers are out.  Oh, it looks like those halcyon days of the 89% approval ratings are a thing of the past.  Now we can say that more Alaskans disapprove of the ex-almost-one-term-governor than approve of her.

And the Approval Index (Very Positive minus Very Negative)w  -1.2

Question 1

Would you say you feel positive or negative about Sarah Palin? And is that very (positive or negative) or somewhat (positive or negative)?

Very positive 120/400 30.0%
Somewhat positive 67/400 16.8%
Total positive (very+somewhat) 187/400 46.8%
Somewhat negative 65/400 16.2%
Very negative 125/400 31.2%
Total negative (very+somewhat) 190/400 47.5%
Don’t Know the person 5/400 1.2%
No Opinion  18/400   4.5%
Refused 0/400 0%

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Question 2

Would you say you feel positive or negative about Sean Parnell? And is that very (positive or negative) or somewhat (positive or negative)?

Very positive 104/400 26.0%
Somewhat positive 162/400 40.5%
Total positive (very+somewhat) 268/400 66.5%
Somewhat negative 22/400 5.5%
Very negative 9/400 2.2%
Total negative (very+somewhat) 31/400 7.8%
Don’t Know the person 31/400 7.8%
No Opinion 72/400 7.8%
Refused 0/400 0%

Here are visual aids in various forms based on previous and current Hays Research Data.

palingraph11

palingraph21

 

Kudos to the Mudflats Number Crunchery Dept. aka  ‘Number Cruncher’ and Dr. Chill who predicted this earlier.  The lines have indeed crossed.


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72 Responses to “Palin’s Approval Index in Alaska Goes Negative (Updated with Charts!)”

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  1. 51
    DrChill Says:

    I got an e-mail from Adam Hays and the data has been corrected. There were 4.5% with no opinion…

  2. 52
    Claw Washout Palin Says:

    I think that the poll needs to be posted on Huffington Post. There still are people who think that she has a rating, at least, in the 50’s from Alaska. I didn’t realize a person’s rating could go so low. GOP still thinks that she has a shot for the Presidency.

  3. 53
    Watching from New Jersey Says:

    SILENCE IS GOLDEN. So nice not to hear her shrill, high-pitched voice and nonsense blatherings. So nice not to see her being all meladramatical in front of the camera. So nice not to see her spewing lies while smiling to us. So nice not to hear her name on the news. I hope she is out of the media for good. Also, so nice not to see her kids being used as stage props. She should “hunker down” and start being a Mom to her kids, especially Trig.

  4. 54
    kareninTexas Says:

    Right on…Watching from New Jersey.

  5. 55
    Mark Says:

    Free at last free at last, Alaska we are free at least. Now, to my friends in the Lower 48, please quit laught at US….we don’t like her either.

  6. 56
    Lee323 Says:

    The latest Fox Poll goes beyond the vagueness of favorability/unfavorability…..and boldly goes into the realm of “What should Sarah Palin do when she grows up.”
    —————————————-
    “About a third of Americans think the best job for Palin is homemaker (32 percent), while nearly one in five see her as a television talk show host (17 percent). Vice president of the United States comes in third (14 percent), followed closely by college professor (10 percent), with president coming last (6 percent).

    Republicans think the best job for Palin is vice president (27 percent), followed by homemaker (18 percent), talk show host (14 percent), president (12 percent) and professor (7 percent).

    More Americans have a negative view of Palin than have a positive one. While 38 percent say they have a favorable opinion of her, 51 percent have an unfavorable view.”

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/07/27/fox-news-poll-percent-disapprove-congress/

  7. 57
    Lee323 Says:

    I personally was disappointed that “butcher, baker, and candlestick maker” were not included on the choices in the Fox Poll.

  8. 58
    frsbdg Says:

    Gasman wrote: “What will she do if the big offers never materialize? ”

    They have a Wal-Mart in Wasilla. Mrs. Palin can get a job as a greeter, and bask in the glow of her adoring fans there.

  9. 59
    Bystander Says:

    Speaking of polls, a recent one determined that a majority of Republicans, 58%are “birthers” and doubt Obama was born in the US.

    The inbred idiot party. In 2012 they can hold their convention on a porch in the deep south, pick up their banjos and play their way into oblivion…

  10. 60
    jc in co Says:

    #58 Bystander, yea they’re walking around with their tin foil hats on, looking as unhinged as the extras in “Deliverance”. 58% sounds frightening but don’t forget 21% of the population claims to be republican. So basically 58% of 21%.
    Still seems like a lot to me. These people are the same ones that don’t think the holocaust occurred, don’t believe man walked on the moon and think 911 was an inside job. Do they not think that if President Obama was born in a hut in Kenya that the Clintons or McCain would have uncovered this deal breaking news? Most of them also think Sarah Palin is qualified to be president of the US.

  11. 61
    anadventurer Says:

    Are “[people so darn stuipd? what it going to take for people to not like her? She is a lying, vindictive B. This is public information. She is not one of you. (not one of you mud puppies, you already know that) NOT ONE OF YOU house wives or work hard types; she doesn’t have the class for that. She is a cult leader. Plan and simple, there is money in that, she just needs to run with it. Isn’t it better to have 100% control over a few mind washed minions then try to control the media and your detractors?

  12. 62
    Watching from New Jersey Says:

    Bystander – I emailed Republican Congressmen and Senators including McCain and asked why they haven’t denouced the “birthers”. I’ve also expressed my thoughts on their opposition to health care reform, which should include mental health as well, since a majority of them are clearly “nuts” and in need of mental counseling. Like Sarah Palin they are out of touch with reality and have serious mental defects.

  13. 63
    leenie17 Says:

    The people who still devotedly support Palin remind me of the zealous followers of the televangelists who have been convicted of crimes (Jim Bakker, Jimmy Swaggart, Ted Haggard, etc). Even after they’ve been proven to violate most of the rules that they preach, their flock still happily trails after them, right on up to the gates of prison, lobbing donations at the prison walls. No amount of reason, evidence or logic will sway them. It’s truly sad, and just a little frightening.

  14. 64
    Marnie Says:

    Since Sarah has a history of running away from her failures, you don’t suppose that her drop in popularity was an element in her quitting again?

    Naaah. Not much it don’t.

  15. 65
    Alaska Pi Says:

    @38 TBNTJudy Says:
    July 31st, 2009 at 6:32 AM
    @31 Alaska Pi, thank you for your very eloquent, insightful post. In many ways, the dilemma you describe for Alaskans is the same one Americans in general share about the Bush Administration. Do we move on to repair our country or do we bring the Bush crooks to justice? I think that every time our government officials are allowed to skate on their crimes, it becomes easier for the crooks to become more crooked and for the public to turn a collective blind eye.
    ———————–
    Thank you.
    It is a dilemma here .
    These falling numbers of approval for the Pied Palin don’t gauge the will of folks to deal with the fallout from her “reign” though…
    I personally support :
    1- Celtic Diva and others in their on-going work to unmask the behavior we allowed, by not paying attention, in our executive branch with PP at the helm.

    2- a thorough re-write of what has turned out to be a sorry-a$$ed ethics law per the approach Phil Munger has written about on PA
    3- While I want to see the Parnell administration succeed for OUR sakes , I will be watching carefully

    I am waiting for the PerBd decision on the leaked report re: trust fund .

    I AM NOT READY FOR THE MESSES SP MADE ON OUR PUBLIC CARPET TO JUST BE SPONGED AWAY AND SPRAYED WITH DEODORANT!

  16. 66
    TBNTJudy Says:

    Alaska Pi said: “I AM NOT READY FOR THE MESSES SP MADE ON OUR PUBLIC CARPET TO JUST BE SPONGED AWAY AND SPRAYED WITH DEODORANT!”

    You and your compatriots have a tough row to hoe. In my opinion, this is exactly what has been done to the crimes of the Bush Administration. We mudpups will do our best to support you. We are not asleep.

    judy

  17. 67
    Alaska Pi Says:

    @78 TBNTJudy -

    I think you are correct that there are similarities with the national scene and our instate problems.
    I choose to support activiites which I hope will help our situation post PP here and I hope we all find and do similar things across the national scene.
    We are responsible for the state of what we hand over to our kids anfd grandkids…
    I’m hoping we get a bunch of messes cleaned up before my grand gets much older and starts asking …
    Lord, what will I say – if we don’t?

  18. 68
    TBNTJudy Says:

    Alaska Pi said: “I’m hoping we get a bunch of messes cleaned up before my grand gets much older and starts asking …
    Lord, what will I say – if we don’t?”

    Damn good question.

  19. 69
    Gasman Says:

    Leave it to the rocket scientist viewers at FauxNews to suggest that the fourth most suggested new gig for Palin is that of college professor. That statement alone makes it pretty clear that those folks have spent no time on a college campus and are utterly ignorant at what goes on in college. I am a faculty member at a college and very few institutions would hire anybody as faculty unless they had at least a master’s degree and nearly no institution grants tenure without a doctorate. The few exceptions would be someone with at least a bachelor’s degree that has accomplished something of importance. That would seem to exclude Palin.

    My degrees by themselves don’t necessarily make me smarter than Palin, but I sure as hell have proven that I can see complex long term projects through to completion.

  20. 70
    CrabbyPatty Says:

    First of all, wiping the tears of laughter away at the thought of people who actually though Palin should be a PROFESSOR. Good lord, are 10% of Americans that stupid? Althought I agree those lectures would be pretty interesting ….. Even the worst professors I had in college and grad school are galaxies beyond Palin.

    Am also amused by the wild spinning going on with the Peeing gals. I’ve read numerous frantic posts – many on Politico – about how the Hayes Research poll was so incorrect on 2008 election. Funny how they have turned against Hayes in order to rationalize why Palin’s popularity is in the toilet.

  21. 71
    Gene Carr Says:

    I fail to see why these numbers should reassure progressives. Palin’ numbers are not much worse than when she statrted in 2006, when she won the Governorship with 48% of the vote against 52% for her rivals. Also, Sean Parnell suddenly has high rating; with those numbers, he will win re-election with a landslide. But, but, isn’t Parnell a Palin protege and is he not pledged to pursue her reforming policies? Will he not consolidate the Palin revolution? Not much comfort in this is there.

  22. 72
    CrabbyPatty Says:

    The big distinction with the Hayes numbers is that people are NOT asked if they would vote for Palin, but rather if they greatly approve, sort of approve, etc. of her. The falling numbers would indicate that the more voters know of Palin, the less they like here.

    Trying to equate those ratings with the final vote tally in 2006 is apples and oranges, or perhaps apples and monkeys, i.e. aren’t even on the same page for comparison purposes.

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