Rove on Palin – Get Ready Now.

14 03 2010

“Bush’s Brain,” advisor Karl Rove had a few words of advice for the Facebook blogger/Fox commentator Sarah Palin today. If she’s getting ready to run for the White House in 2012, she better start now.

Politico did not elaborate on how exactly Rove suggested this should occur, but we can assume it means doing a lot of reading.

politicsfordummies

Acknowledging that the politics of the day will change between now and then, he still said there’s not a moment to lose.

“This is her year to get ready for the hot spotlight that will fall on her…I don’t know if she wants to, she certainly can, she did very well in the 63 days she was on the national stage,” Rove said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

Really?  Was it only 63 days?  Those for whom that 63 days felt like a lifetime cannot fathom an entire four-year Palin presidency.

But will she or won’t she?  That’s the question that nobody seems to be able to answer for sure.  Keeping us guessing keeps her in the spotlight, however, and speculation alone has fueled sales of her book, anticipation of her next book, and supported six figure speaking engagements across the land – to loggers, and bowlers, and liquor wholesalers, and NASCAR fans alike.  So, even if Palin is not planning to sit in the political dunking booth to which she would be permanently confined in the run up to the 2012 election, she benefits handsomely from not telling us that.



New Palin Poll Numbers in Alaska

28 02 2010

The Alaska GOP’s favorite pollster Dave Dittman has come out with some new numbers about our ex-almost-one-term governor. How many of them would like to see her run for President of the United States? What percentage of Alaskans think that the woman who couldn’t even survive one term as the governor of half a million people should run the country?

It would appear that it’s 17%. That would leave 83% of Alaskans who think that’s a bad bad idea. BUT, I would submit to you that I know many progressive Alaskans who would love Palin to run for president.  Their little eyes get all twinkly, and they look like someone has just asked them if they want a piece of cake.  A Palin candidacy, they tell me,  assures another four years of a Democratic White House.

So, take that 17% with a grain of salt.

I was interested in this quote from USA Today:

A new poll of voters in Alaska, where Sarah Palin served as governor, shows them deeply divided about whether they think their ex-chief executive should run for the White House.

Deeply divided? 83% v. 17%?

If the election were held today, and Palin ran against someone else for the presidency and the other candidate won in an 83/17 split, I don’t think anyone would be describing it as a “deeply divided” nation. That’s as close to unanimous as a national contest would ever get.  “Landslide” doesn’t even do it justice.   I believe, if memory serves me correctly, 17% is the same percentage as those who thought favorably about Dick Cheney when he stepped down from the presidency in 2008.  No that is not a typo.

And it looks doubtful that Palin would even come close to winning her home state, where it all started. Deeply divided? Not so much.

Another 36% of respondents say that Palin should not run for president, but simply “help other candidates.” Well, she did help Doug Hoffman in New York’s 23rd District. They hadn’t had a Democrat in that seat in decades until she came out in support of the conservative candidate.

She does seem to bring in a lot of money for the candidates she supports, but she also polarizes the debate so much that she brings in just as much for the opponent. Palin is the Republican party’s gift to Democratic fundraisers across the nation.

No Alaskan pollster has asked the question that I would ask – “If Sarah Palin were to run for governor of Alaska in 2010, would you vote for her?”   That’s the one I want.

Since I can’t ask only Alaskans that question, I’ll put up another poll here. I’ll assume that most of the regular readers of this blog are not Sarah Palin fans. Call it a hunch. So, what do you think? Would you like to see her run for President against Barack Obama in 2012?

Would you like to see Sarah Palin run for president against Barack Obama in 2012?

View Results

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Swill Baby, Swill! Palin Hits Sin City.

14 02 2010

drunksmiley

What better way for your favorite Tea Party talker and her down-to-earth wholesome Christian values to make a splash, than by headlining at a booze conference in the heart of Sin City!  That’s right, Sarah Palin will be delivering the keynote address at this year’s Wine and Spirits Wholesalers of America conference in (where else) Caesar’s Palace in Las Vegas, Nevada!  We never knew she was THAT kind of winer too.

Hopefully she’ll share all her great ideas about free enterprise, limited government regulation, and how the feds ruin everything they touch.  I’ll bet the adult beverage wholesalers, who are quite gung-ho on the hightly regulated, government controlled distribution of alcohol in the United States will find it fascinating.

Maybe, they’ll even be treated to a flash of ”Boozers Rock!” written on her hand in Sharpie. 

Palin does have some meager claim to affecting the sales of wine, however.  Back in September of 2008, sales of the pre-existing and unfortunately named “Palin Syrah” plummeted in San Francisco.  No word about whether the dusty bottles were shipped to less enlightened regions of the country.

Despite the unanticipated tanking of that particular Syrah, I have a hunch Palin may actually be responsible for an overall  increase in alcohol consumption since August 29 of 2008.  I know that’s true for this household.



Voices from the Flats – Under a Rogue Star (Update)

11 02 2010

Richard Fineberg has reported on Alaska petroleum development for more than three decades for newspapers, public agencies, environmental and other public interest groups and even occasional developers.  He has served three governors – the first as a budget and policy analyst, the second as a senior advisor on oil and gas and the third as a consultant. The third was Sarah Palin.  Documentaton and additional background at finebergresearch.com.

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Under a Rogue Star – Update
by Richard Fineberg

Sarah Palin says it would be absurd for her not to consider running for President in 2012, but every misleading public utterance she makes about her performance as governor diminishes her credibility.  The Feb. 2 “Rogue Star” post, starts with the fact-based recounting of the sequence of Alaska oil spills that silently accompanied her Lower-48 book tour three months ago, then considers underlying policy issues that spotlight once again the yawning abyss between what Palin says and what she does. The article concludes that Palin’s claims that she strengthened Alaska’s petroleum management systems are as phony as the notion that she was traveling the Lower-48 in that big, blue bus she used as a stage prop.

palinbus

Reporters revealed that on her book tour Palin was actually flying far above the clouds in an expensive executive jet plane. (Some may find it significant that her choice of conveyance consumed an estimated nine times more energy than a more modest means of transportation.) But her mode of travel is a peripheral matter. When Palin gets to where she is going, her outlandish statements open the door to broader policy issues. Last week’s post combines with previous analyses of Palin’s performance as governor on Alaska petroleum issues to add to the growing body of evidence that many of Palin’s statements simply cannot be believed.

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From the North Pole refinery in interior Alaska (above) to the broken lines in the midst of the nation’s largest oil field at the northern edge of the continent, (below), a look at the reality beneath the images Palin panders provides a sobering reminder of the importance of distinguishing between the inevitable complexities of public policy on a crowded planet and dreams of yester year.

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Six-inch lateral pipeline separation and damaged well house at Well #11, Prudhoe Bay, Alaska, Dec. 21, 2009.
Photos from the Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation

In recent years, careful students of petroleum development have identified the concept of transparency as a bedrock principle, an important factor of governance that enables members of the public to come to informed conclusions and make correct choices regarding the future. Previous posts on my web site demonstrate that even though Palin sometimes pays lip-service to this important principle, many of her actions as governor defaced it.

It is at once a curse and a blessing of this day and age that we have access to much more information than we have time to digest. For those so afflicted, here is the conclusion of the Feb. 2 post:

“Largely unnoticed by the throngs that gathered to greet Palin on her book tour, the series of spills in Alaska during the last six weeks of 2009 undermined Palin’s attempt to portray herself as an effective environmental protector. These developments converge with a review of her administrative record to illuminate significant portions of the mess Palin left behind when she abandoned public office in mid-stream and took her show on the road. Palin’s misleading and superficial brags concerning her environmental performance mask the reality Alaska revealed during her Lower-48 book tour: “Drill, Baby, Drill” really means “Spill, Baby, Spill.” Beyond the competence of a rogue politician, a close look at Alaska’s recent environmental record suggests that is there is little reason to believe the industry can safely explore for oil and develop whatever deposits may be discovered in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and beneath the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas of the Arctic Ocean.”

In light of the disturbing disparities between Palin’s policy pronouncements and her actions, documented elsewhere on my web site, it would be more than absurd to consider the failed former governor for higher office. It would be a tragic mistake.

How Palin, During Her 25-State Barnstorm, Managed to Run Up
A Nine-Fold Increase in Fuel Compared to a Genuine Highway Tour

As governor of Alaska, Sarah Palin made a show of getting rid of the jet plane her predecessor had used. She claimed to be a model of fiscal restraint in her campaign to convince the public she was a different kind of politician.(1)  But is she so different from other disingenuous politicos when she carefully nurtures the false image that she is rambling around on a highway bus but she is actually flying around in a chartered jet?

As a private citizen, Palin is, of course, free to use a luxurious and notoriously expensive mode of transportation.  But some folks might find the Palin’s choice of travel arrangements for her book tour more than hypocritical. Since Palin has billed herself as an energy maven and placed advocacy of aggressive petroleum development in Alaska at the center of her autobiography, my efforts have been focused on Palin’s public pronouncements and her conduct in office. This sidebar looks briefly at the fuel consumption of the environmentally unfriendly travel plans Palin made to conduct her national speaking tour.

By way of background: Bloggers have reported that the Grumman Gulfstream II executive jet that Palin chartered reportedly costs $4,000 per hour. That seems like a lot of money to spend, particularly when, having left her elected responsibilities behind, Palin presumably had time on her hands. In fact, in her final days before leaving office Palin found time to serve hot dogs to supporters at outdoor summer farewell gatherings in different parts of the state.  And to get to the final party in Fairbanks, where her successor was sworn in, she and her husband packed their family into a van for an overnight trip of approximately 350 miles from Anchorage north.(2)

Having retired early from public office, Palin is free to park a jet on a runway for $4,000.00 per hour, if that’s what she wants to do. Nevertheless, readers might be interested in considering the quantity of fuel this peripatetic politician consumed on her late-2009 book signing travel to 31 communities in 25 states.

From quick map inspection, it appears that between Nov. 18 and Dec. 11, 2009, Palin logged at least 15,000 miles traveling from community to community. Here are some rough fuel consumption estimates for cars, buses and planes:

  • If Palin rented a car and a van for the trip, the two vehicles might have averaged 15 miles per gallon. That would come to a combined total of 2,000 gallons of gasoline. One car at 20 mpg would have consumed 750 gallons of gasoline.
  • Bus fuel consumption is more difficult to estimate, particularly without knowing the size and age of the engine in the big blue bus with her picture on the side. Transit buses use about 6.5 times more fuel per mile than light cars and trucks. That figure would put the bus consumption at 6,500 gallons. Highway buses are generally reported to get about 6 mpg. That would put the bus consumption for her tour at 2,500 gallons.
  • The Grumman Gulfstream II executive jet is supposed to guzzle about 500 gallons of fuel per hour cruising in excess of 500 mph. If these figures reflect the reduced speeds and additional fuel used climbing and reducing to landing speeds, the Gulfstream would have consumed 15,000 gallons of fuel.

From these rough estimates, it is safe to say that Palin’s 2,000 gallon base for a car and a van grew to somewhere between 17,500 gallons and 21,500 gallons for the bus and plane, depending on the bus fuel consumption. Taking the lower estimate and adding a chase car for running errands at each stop, Palin’s plane and bus charade would have consumed a total of 18,250 gallons of fuel. In other words, Palin’s transportation choices for her barnstorming tour resulted in at least nine times more carbon pollution than a car and a van covering a similar distance would have consumed. (3)

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(1) Here is how Palin described the jet story in her recent autobiography:
“My own fiscal restraint was considered by some Alaska lawmakers too sharp a contrast to the last Republican administration’s lack thereof, and I was warned by lawmakers not to shake things up so much. Governor Murkowski… unveiled his last capital budget while donning a Santa Claus hat. I don’t mean figuratively. He put the hat on and signed a budget full of “gifts” for lawmakers.

Not that he didn’t trim here and there. He did cancel a senior care program for needy elders who had come to rely on it for their monthly income. Then he turned around and bought the jet.

That darn jet. Both the public and the legislature had told Murkowski not to buy it. It was very expensive to operate, and pilots couldn’t land it on gravel strips, making it practically useless for travel around a lot of Alaska. After I was elected, I listed the thing on dBay and an agent finally sold it. (Sarah Palin, Going Rogue: An American Life [HarperCollins, 2009], p. 147.

(2) Palin described the final trip to Fairbanks as governor in her farewell speech July 26, 2009. In her autobiography, with characteristic focus on personal matters rather than affairs of state, she notes that “[o]ur drive back to Wasilla was full of cranked-up Southern rock music, and we stopped along the highway to roast hot dogs and make s’mores over a campfire” (Going Rogue, pp. 383-384).

(3) For a number of reasons, these estimates are probably conservative. The aircraft burn rate taking off and landing would probably be higher than its cruising average, the bus probably consumed additional fuel at the start and end of each trip and a car and van with higher average performance might have been obtained.